Round 18 · simulation 24 · cycle-002.e4-est

Round 2014

Round 18 of 30 in simulation 24 of Estonia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.050 to 10.65.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2014 (the end of 2013) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.65 (−0.050)
In: 10.70
Rank by index
40
In: 39
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.004.89−0.1066
Strategic Infrastructure10.7710.74−0.0365
National Security6.476.45−0.0207
Human Capital13.6213.59−0.0302
Information & Influence10.3810.31−0.0712
Governance & Integrity15.2715.26−0.0051
Financial Strength12.0312.10+0.0767 → 6
Production & Innovation10.9110.82−0.0956
Trade & Investment11.8411.67−0.1641

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2014: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 271. Maintenance 226. Spent 45 on actions (build 45). 0 carried over. 6 actions could not be paid for.

  • BuildMonetary & Currency Capability14 credits for 0.48 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance14 credits for 0.41 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFinancial Regulation & Integrity14 credits for 0.70 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFinancial Stability & Crisis Management5 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −18.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2014, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Monetary & Currency Capability+0.34+0.500.00−0.16+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.220.000.00−0.220.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.220.000.00−0.220.00
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations+0.21+0.220.00−0.04+0.03
Global Value Chain Position−0.210.000.00−0.210.00
Trade Policy & Market Access−0.210.000.00−0.210.00