Round 24 · simulation 3 · cycle-002.e4-grc

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 3 of Greece, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.366 to 12.42.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.42 (−0.366)
In: 12.78
Rank by index
25
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 6
Credits carried
171
In: 186
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.826.39−0.4377
Strategic Infrastructure14.4914.36−0.1331 → 2
National Security12.0911.86−0.2264
Human Capital13.8513.53−0.3223
Information & Influence13.5913.07−0.5241 → 2
Governance & Integrity14.5814.34−0.2321
Financial Strength14.4913.98−0.5071
Production & Innovation12.2011.80−0.3981 → 3
Trade & Investment12.9412.43−0.5181

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 504, plus 186 carried in. Maintenance 394. Spent 125 on actions (build 125). 171 carried over.

  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure25 credits for 0.76 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Technologies25 credits for 1.45 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability25 credits for 1.06 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildDigital & Services Trade25 credits for 0.45 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildInnovation & Commercialisation25 credits for 1.26 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −29.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 1 to 2; Information & Influence Tier 1 to 2; Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.010.000.00−1.05+0.04
Labour & Employment−0.950.000.00−0.96+0.01
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−0.950.000.00−0.950.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.930.000.00−0.93−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.840.000.00−0.87+0.03
Population Health−0.590.000.00−0.590.00