Round 26 · simulation 23 · cycle-002.e4-hun

Round 2022

Round 26 of 30 in simulation 23 of Hungary, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.091 to 11.19.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.19 (−0.091)
In: 11.28
Rank by index
36
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
157
In: 173
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.407.20−0.1977
Strategic Infrastructure13.2113.14−0.0661
National Security6.996.92−0.0737
Human Capital13.8814.07+0.1945 → 4
Information & Influence11.5311.37−0.1662
Governance & Integrity13.3313.27−0.0611
Financial Strength10.9510.87−0.0798
Production & Innovation11.3711.21−0.1616
Trade & Investment12.8812.67−0.2111

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 356, plus 173 carried in. Maintenance 283. Spent 88 on actions (build 88). 157 carried over.

  • BuildPopulation Health18 credits for 0.75 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability18 credits for 0.78 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance18 credits for 0.47 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence18 credits for 1.49 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Policy & Market Access18 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −26.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2022, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Digital & AI Competence+0.94+0.950.00−0.04+0.02
Population Health+0.57+0.610.00−0.040.00
Health System Capability+0.45+0.490.00−0.040.00
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.360.000.00−0.31−0.05
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.360.000.00−0.32−0.04
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.34+0.490.00−0.13−0.01