Round 24 · simulation 5 · cycle-002.e4-hun

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 5 of Hungary, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.484 to 11.26.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.26 (−0.483)
In: 11.74
Rank by index
35
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
189
In: 226
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.037.40−0.6267
Strategic Infrastructure13.4813.24−0.2421
National Security7.276.96−0.3065 → 7
Human Capital14.1113.76−0.3513 → 5
Information & Influence12.1911.54−0.6572
Governance & Integrity13.6213.30−0.3171
Financial Strength11.5210.89−0.6277 → 8
Production & Innovation11.9011.34−0.5596
Trade & Investment13.5412.88−0.6651

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 371, plus 226 carried in. Maintenance 316. Spent 93 on actions (build 93). 189 carried over.

  • BuildPopulation Health19 credits for 0.81 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability19 credits for 0.81 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.48 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence19 credits for 1.65 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −36.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. National Security Tier 5 to 7; Human Capital Tier 3 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 7 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.110.000.00−1.110.00
Labour & Employment−1.090.000.00−1.090.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.050.000.00−1.050.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.98+0.210.00−1.20+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.97+0.160.00−1.130.00
Foundational Education−0.670.000.00−0.69+0.02