Round 26 · simulation 5 · cycle-002.e4-hun

Round 2022

Round 26 of 30 in simulation 5 of Hungary, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.091 to 11.20.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.20 (−0.091)
In: 11.29
Rank by index
35
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
132
In: 149
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.407.21−0.1947
Strategic Infrastructure13.2613.20−0.0671
National Security6.966.89−0.0717
Human Capital13.9314.13+0.1925 → 4
Information & Influence11.5311.37−0.1672
Governance & Integrity13.3313.26−0.0621
Financial Strength10.9310.85−0.0808
Production & Innovation11.3611.20−0.1586
Trade & Investment12.9112.70−0.2111

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 355, plus 149 carried in. Maintenance 285. Spent 88 on actions (build 88). 132 carried over.

  • BuildPopulation Health18 credits for 0.75 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability18 credits for 0.76 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance18 credits for 0.48 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence18 credits for 1.49 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Policy & Market Access18 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −26.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2022, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Digital & AI Competence+0.93+0.950.00−0.04+0.01
Population Health+0.58+0.610.00−0.040.00
Health System Capability+0.45+0.480.00−0.04+0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.360.000.00−0.32−0.05
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.350.000.00−0.31−0.04
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.34+0.490.00−0.13−0.01