Round 25 · simulation 1 · cycle-002.e4-irl

Round 2021

Round 25 of 30 in simulation 1 of Ireland, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index −0.116 to 12.15.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2021 (the end of 2020) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.15 (−0.116)
In: 12.27
Rank by index
28
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 6
Credits carried
11
In: 96
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.957.84−0.1075
Strategic Infrastructure13.4913.44−0.0561
National Security6.146.05−0.0927
Human Capital13.8213.83+0.0081
Information & Influence11.9511.73−0.2232
Governance & Integrity14.2414.22−0.0251
Financial Strength15.7615.55−0.2111 → 2
Production & Innovation13.7113.53−0.1791
Trade & Investment13.3313.17−0.1571

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2021: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 382, plus 96 carried in. Maintenance 354. Spent 114 on actions (build 114). 11 carried over.

  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management23 credits for 1.03 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability23 credits for 1.11 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies23 credits for 1.54 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildDigital & Services Trade23 credits for 1.36 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration23 credits for 0.35 levelsscripted_history

Earlier events still landing: −11.7 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2021, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Digital & Services Trade+1.18+1.360.00−0.21+0.03
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.84+1.030.00−0.190.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.490.000.00−0.44−0.05
Global Value Chain Position−0.470.000.00−0.42−0.06
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.450.000.00−0.43−0.02
Trade Policy & Market Access−0.440.000.00−0.42−0.02