Round 17 · simulation 2 · cycle-002.e4-irl

Round 2013

Round 17 of 30 in simulation 2 of Ireland, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Debt service reset, and the index +0.068 to 12.49.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2013 (the end of 2012) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.49 (+0.068)
In: 12.42
Rank by index
25
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 4
Credits carried
241
In: 223
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.997.990.0006
Strategic Infrastructure13.4913.49−0.0081
National Security6.466.45−0.0087
Human Capital13.4713.47−0.0021
Information & Influence12.7412.74+0.0021
Governance & Integrity14.2414.35+0.1115 → 3
Financial Strength15.6516.03+0.3821
Production & Innovation13.7413.88+0.1333
Trade & Investment13.9713.97+0.0012

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2013: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 440, plus 223 carried in. Maintenance 313. Spent 109 on actions (build 109). 241 carried over.

  • BuildFinancial Stability & Crisis Management22 credits for 0.86 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance22 credits for 0.40 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildLabour & Employment22 credits for 0.89 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration22 credits for 0.73 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFinancial Regulation & Integrity22 credits for 0.78 levelsscripted_history
  • Upside event: Debt service reset S11. +0.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 5 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2013, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Labour & Employment+0.95+0.940.000.000.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management+0.94+0.890.000.00+0.05
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.83+0.830.000.00+0.01
Financial Regulation & Integrity+0.81+0.810.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.47+0.460.000.000.00
Monetary & Currency Capability+0.070.000.000.00+0.07