Round 2020
Round 24 of 30 in simulation 2 of Ireland, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture and Severe pandemic, and the index −0.553 to 12.28.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.28 (−0.553)
- In: 12.84
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 22
- Domains at Tier 1
- 6
- In: 7
- Credits carried
- 82
- In: 149
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.63 | 7.96 | −0.664 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.80 | 13.52 | −0.282 | 1 |
| National Security | 6.46 | 6.12 | −0.340 | 7 |
| Human Capital | 14.22 | 13.82 | −0.404 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.75 | 11.96 | −0.782 | 1 → 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 14.60 | 14.25 | −0.350 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 16.45 | 15.79 | −0.662 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 14.38 | 13.73 | −0.653 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.24 | 13.40 | −0.837 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 456, plus 149 carried in. Maintenance 408. Spent 114 on actions (build 114). 82 carried over.
- BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management23 credits for 1.03 levelsscripted_history
- BuildHealth System Capability23 credits for 1.11 levelsscripted_history
- BuildConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies23 credits for 1.54 levelsscripted_history
- BuildDigital & Services Trade23 credits for 1.39 levelsscripted_history
- BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration23 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −35.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −31.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 1 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | −1.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.32 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.33 | +0.03 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.16 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.03 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.03 | +0.03 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | −0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.00 | +0.01 |