Round 30 · simulation 2 · cycle-002.e4-irl

Round 2026

Round 30 of 30 in simulation 2 of Ireland, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.012 to 12.11.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2026 (the end of 2025) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.11 (+0.013)
In: 12.10
Rank by index
28
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 5
Credits carried
115
In: 76
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.857.88+0.0265 → 4
Strategic Infrastructure13.3413.35+0.0131
National Security5.925.94+0.0257
Human Capital14.0414.06+0.0241
Information & Influence11.4711.46−0.0124
Governance & Integrity14.4814.53+0.0411
Financial Strength15.3615.36−0.0022
Production & Innovation13.3413.34+0.0031
Trade & Investment13.0713.06−0.0071

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2026: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 424, plus 76 carried in. Maintenance 343. Spent 42 on actions (build 42). 115 carried over.

  • BuildSocial Infrastructure9 credits for 0.09 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Technologies9 credits for 0.32 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildForce Generation & Mobilisation9 credits for 0.39 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence9 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure9 credits for 0.25 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2026, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
National Resilience & Crisis Management+0.34+0.340.000.00+0.01
Energy Technologies+0.32+0.320.000.000.00
Force Generation & Mobilisation+0.28+0.290.000.00−0.01
Health System Capability+0.24+0.260.000.00−0.03
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.19+0.200.000.00−0.01
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations+0.060.000.000.00+0.06