Round 19 · simulation 22 · cycle-002.e4-ken

Round 2015

Round 19 of 30 in simulation 22 of Kenya, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.008 to 5.79.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2015 (the end of 2014) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.79 (+0.008)
In: 5.78
Rank by index
103
In: 104
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
121
In: 115
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.741.74−0.00512
Strategic Infrastructure7.757.80+0.0466
National Security4.013.99−0.0219
Human Capital7.387.37−0.01813
Information & Influence5.865.85−0.01211
Governance & Integrity7.257.30+0.05114
Financial Strength6.126.17+0.05023 → 22
Production & Innovation5.735.73−0.00718
Trade & Investment6.176.16−0.00915

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2015: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 120, plus 115 carried in. Maintenance 84. Spent 30 on actions (build 30). 121 carried over.

  • BuildTransport Infrastructure6 credits for 0.20 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure6 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure6 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration6 credits for 0.32 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFinancial System Depth & Access6 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 23 to 22.

The groups that moved most in 2015, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Financial System Depth & Access+0.32+0.330.000.00−0.01
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.29+0.300.000.00−0.01
Energy Infrastructure+0.23+0.260.000.00−0.03
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.19+0.190.000.000.00
Political Institutions & Civic Participation+0.17+0.170.000.000.00
Transport Infrastructure+0.15+0.210.000.00−0.06