Round 2017
Round 21 of 30 in simulation 22 of Kenya, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.256 to 5.54.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2017 (the end of 2016) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.54 (−0.256)
- In: 5.80
- Rank by index
- 110
- In: 102
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 123
- In: 115
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 1.73 | 1.56 | −0.166 | 12 → 13 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.84 | 7.74 | −0.106 | 6 |
| National Security | 3.97 | 3.58 | −0.387 | 9 → 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.35 | 7.22 | −0.128 | 13 |
| Information & Influence | 5.84 | 5.41 | −0.423 | 11 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.34 | 7.08 | −0.265 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 6.22 | 5.80 | −0.422 | 22 |
| Production & Innovation | 5.72 | 5.55 | −0.169 | 18 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.16 | 5.92 | −0.240 | 15 → 16 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2017: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 123, plus 115 carried in. Maintenance 85. Spent 30 on actions (build 30). 123 carried over.
- BuildTransport Infrastructure6 credits for 0.20 levelsscripted_history
- BuildEnergy Infrastructure6 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
- BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure6 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
- BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration6 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
- BuildFinancial System Depth & Access6 credits for 0.32 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −19.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 12 to 13; National Security Tier 9 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 15 to 16.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Force Generation & Mobilisation | −0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.74 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.71 | −0.01 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.72 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.67 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | −0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.42 | −0.01 |
| Maritime Power | −0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.40 | −0.01 |