Round 2022
Round 26 of 30 in simulation 22 of Kenya, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.480 to 4.41.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 4.41 (−0.480)
- In: 4.88
- Rank by index
- 131
- In: 122
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 114
- In: 111
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 1.06 | 0.89 | −0.172 | 15 → 16 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.37 | 6.80 | −0.565 | 6 → 7 |
| National Security | 3.17 | 2.89 | −0.281 | 11 |
| Human Capital | 6.62 | 6.21 | −0.401 | 13 → 14 |
| Information & Influence | 4.48 | 3.84 | −0.638 | 13 → 15 |
| Governance & Integrity | 6.67 | 6.33 | −0.339 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 4.82 | 4.11 | −0.716 | 23 → 25 |
| Production & Innovation | 4.95 | 4.47 | −0.476 | 18 → 19 |
| Trade & Investment | 4.85 | 4.12 | −0.731 | 17 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 96, plus 111 carried in. Maintenance 69. Spent 24 on actions (build 24). 114 carried over.
- BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure5 credits for 0.19 levelsscripted_history
- BuildHealth System Capability5 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
- BuildSocial Infrastructure5 credits for 0.22 levelsscripted_history
- BuildAdvanced Manufacturing5 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.37 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −34.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 15 to 16; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 6 to 7; Human Capital Tier 13 to 14; Information & Influence Tier 13 to 15; Financial Strength Tier 23 to 25; Production & Innovation Tier 18 to 19.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.22 | −0.01 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.08 | −0.02 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.04 | −0.02 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.00 | −0.03 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.98 | −0.02 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.81 | −0.01 |