Round 8 · simulation 1 · cycle-002.e4-lka

Round 2004

Round 8 of 30 in simulation 1 of Sri Lanka, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.317 to 7.96.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2004 (the end of 2003) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.96 (−0.316)
In: 8.28
Rank by index
69
In: 65
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
39
In: 20
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.583.56−0.02210
Strategic Infrastructure9.108.60−0.5027
National Security6.656.48−0.1637
Human Capital10.249.99−0.2448 → 7
Information & Influence8.368.16−0.2059
Governance & Integrity8.878.61−0.25614 → 15
Financial Strength9.158.60−0.55017 → 18
Production & Innovation8.598.16−0.43114
Trade & Investment9.999.52−0.4767 → 8

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2004: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 182, plus 20 carried in. Maintenance 144. Spent 18 on actions (partner 18). 39 carried over.

  • PartnerTransport Infrastructure4 credits for 0.19 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure4 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management4 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerHealth System Capability4 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics4 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −23.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 8 to 7; Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 15; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 18; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2004, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.830.000.00−0.830.00
Financial System Depth & Access−0.820.000.00−0.820.00
Energy Infrastructure−0.770.000.00−0.770.00
Social Infrastructure−0.740.000.00−0.740.00
Industrial & Sectoral Base−0.65+0.060.00−0.710.00
Transport Infrastructure−0.62+0.130.00−0.750.00