Round 24 · simulation 27 · cycle-002.e4-lka

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 27 of Sri Lanka, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.365 to 7.53.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.53 (−0.365)
In: 7.90
Rank by index
73
In: 70
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
37
In: 24
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.382.91−0.47611 → 12
Strategic Infrastructure8.788.59−0.1937
National Security7.026.83−0.1817
Human Capital9.979.62−0.3457 → 8
Information & Influence7.977.50−0.4759
Governance & Integrity8.728.52−0.20314 → 15
Financial Strength8.117.66−0.45319 → 20
Production & Innovation7.747.30−0.44515
Trade & Investment9.408.88−0.5178 → 9

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 160, plus 24 carried in. Maintenance 138. Spent 8 on actions (build 8). 37 carried over.

  • BuildInternal Security & Order2 credits for 0.09 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance2 credits for 0.07 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildMonetary & Currency Capability2 credits for 0.09 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure2 credits for 0.06 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management2 credits for 0.09 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −26.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 11 to 12; Human Capital Tier 7 to 8; Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 15; Financial Strength Tier 19 to 20; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.870.000.00−0.89+0.01
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−0.840.000.00−0.830.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.820.000.00−0.820.00
Labour & Employment−0.790.000.00−0.790.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.70+0.090.00−0.800.00
Population Health−0.530.000.00−0.520.00