Round 24 · simulation 4 · cycle-002.e4-mys

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 4 of Malaysia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture and Severe pandemic, and the index −0.662 to 11.76.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.76 (−0.663)
In: 12.42
Rank by index
30
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
1,114
In: 1,058
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.765.99−0.7756
Strategic Infrastructure14.7714.42−0.3431
National Security9.468.94−0.5225
Human Capital12.5312.15−0.3755
Information & Influence11.8510.91−0.9335 → 6
Governance & Integrity12.5112.02−0.4874 → 5
Financial Strength15.3414.47−0.8693 → 6
Production & Innovation13.8313.11−0.7234 → 5
Trade & Investment14.7713.83−0.9352 → 4

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 408, plus 1,058 carried in. Maintenance 311. Spent 41 on actions (build 41). 1,114 carried over.

  • BuildDigital & AI Competence8 credits for 0.85 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure8 credits for 0.38 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSemiconductors & Advanced Computing8 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability8 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management8 credits for 0.37 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −12.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −30.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 6; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 3 to 6; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.510.000.00−1.510.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.310.000.00−1.310.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.280.000.00−1.33+0.05
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.270.000.00−1.28+0.01
Labour & Employment−1.120.000.00−1.120.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.940.000.00−0.94−0.01