Round 12 · simulation 12 · cycle-002.e4-nga

Round 2008

Round 12 of 30 in simulation 12 of Nigeria, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.325 to 7.65.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2008 (the end of 2007) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.65 (−0.325)
In: 7.98
Rank by index
72
In: 69
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
32
In: 13
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.853.62−0.23910
Strategic Infrastructure9.138.81−0.3216
National Security6.846.65−0.1946
Human Capital8.087.78−0.29912
Information & Influence9.869.48−0.3847
Governance & Integrity8.318.19−0.11613 → 14
Financial Strength9.579.11−0.45816
Production & Innovation7.777.38−0.38614 → 15
Trade & Investment8.367.83−0.52912

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2008: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 215, plus 13 carried in. Maintenance 142. Spent 54 on actions (build 54). 32 carried over.

  • BuildInternal Security & Order11 credits for 0.52 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure11 credits for 0.49 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation11 credits for 0.61 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildResource Infrastructure11 credits for 0.35 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure11 credits for 0.42 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −27.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 13 to 14; Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 15.

The groups that moved most in 2008, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.940.000.00−0.96+0.01
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.810.000.00−0.82+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.760.000.00−0.78+0.02
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.730.000.00−0.75+0.01
Population Health−0.540.000.00−0.540.00
Early Childhood Development−0.520.000.00−0.530.00