Round 24 · simulation 12 · cycle-002.e4-nga

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 12 of Nigeria, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.386 to 7.39.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.39 (−0.386)
In: 7.78
Rank by index
75
In: 70
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.523.01−0.51110
Strategic Infrastructure9.889.71−0.1664
National Security6.516.32−0.1986
Human Capital8.177.80−0.36912 → 13
Information & Influence9.909.42−0.4807
Governance & Integrity9.289.10−0.18512
Financial Strength8.437.93−0.49717 → 19
Production & Innovation6.986.49−0.48815 → 17
Trade & Investment7.316.73−0.58012

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 175. Maintenance 139. Spent 36 on actions (build 36). 0 carried over.

  • BuildTransport Infrastructure9 credits for 0.39 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure9 credits for 0.35 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health9 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance9 credits for 0.35 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildResource Infrastructure1 credits for 0.03 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −28.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 12 to 13; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 19; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 17.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.010.000.00−1.03+0.02
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−0.920.000.00−0.920.00
Labour & Employment−0.860.000.00−0.860.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.810.000.00−0.810.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.76+0.120.00−0.89+0.01
Health System Capability−0.600.000.00−0.59−0.01