Round 25 · simulation 17 · cycle-002.e4-nga

Round 2021

Round 25 of 30 in simulation 17 of Nigeria, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, and the index +0.021 to 7.41.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2021 (the end of 2020) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.41 (+0.021)
In: 7.39
Rank by index
75
In: 75
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.013.01+0.00210
Strategic Infrastructure9.759.81+0.0654
National Security6.326.34+0.0196
Human Capital7.837.86+0.03313
Information & Influence9.439.41−0.0107
Governance & Integrity9.049.10+0.06312 → 10
Financial Strength7.947.97+0.02619
Production & Innovation6.536.530.00016
Trade & Investment6.706.69−0.01012

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2021: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 164. Maintenance 130. Spent 34 on actions (build 34). 0 carried over. 1 action could not be paid for.

  • BuildTransport Infrastructure9 credits for 0.38 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure9 credits for 0.35 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health9 credits for 0.56 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance8 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 12 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2021, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Transport Infrastructure+0.40+0.400.000.000.00
Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption+0.26+0.260.000.00+0.01
Population Health+0.23+0.220.000.000.00
Internal Security & Order+0.21+0.210.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.20+0.230.000.00−0.03
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.18+0.170.000.000.00