Round 2026
Round 30 of 30 in simulation 17 of Nigeria, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.039 to 7.54.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2026 (the end of 2025) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.54 (+0.039)
- In: 7.50
- Rank by index
- 73
- In: 74
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.98 | 2.98 | −0.001 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.05 | 10.13 | +0.081 | 4 |
| National Security | 6.31 | 6.32 | +0.008 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 8.04 | 8.07 | +0.032 | 13 |
| Information & Influence | 9.40 | 9.40 | −0.001 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 9.16 | 9.16 | +0.002 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 8.28 | 8.42 | +0.142 | 18 → 16 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.50 | 6.50 | +0.003 | 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.78 | 6.86 | +0.088 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2026: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 177. Maintenance 134. Spent 43 on actions (build 43). 0 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance9 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
- BuildMonetary & Currency Capability9 credits for 0.52 levelsscripted_history
- BuildResource Infrastructure9 credits for 0.25 levelsscripted_history
- BuildSocial Infrastructure9 credits for 0.43 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTrade Policy & Market Access8 credits for 0.58 levelsscripted_history
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 18 to 16.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.53 | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | +0.52 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Social Infrastructure | +0.35 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.34 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Resource Infrastructure | +0.21 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Population Health | +0.19 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |