Round 9 · simulation 7 · cycle-002.e4-nga

Round 2005

Round 9 of 30 in simulation 7 of Nigeria, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Debt service reset, and the index +0.061 to 7.85.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2005 (the end of 2004) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.85 (+0.061)
In: 7.79
Rank by index
70
In: 70
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
25
In: 12
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.843.85+0.00510
Strategic Infrastructure8.748.86+0.1237 → 6
National Security6.836.84+0.0136
Human Capital7.957.99+0.04312
Information & Influence9.579.65+0.0777
Governance & Integrity7.988.09+0.11114 → 13
Financial Strength9.199.32+0.13016
Production & Innovation7.697.72+0.02615 → 14
Trade & Investment8.288.30+0.02212

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2005: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 200, plus 12 carried in. Maintenance 138. Spent 49 on actions (build 49). 25 carried over.

  • BuildFinancial Regulation & Integrity10 credits for 0.51 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildResource Infrastructure10 credits for 0.35 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure10 credits for 0.49 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration10 credits for 0.50 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks10 credits for 0.53 levelsscripted_history
  • Upside event: Debt service reset S11. +7.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 7 to 6; Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 13; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 14.

The groups that moved most in 2005, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Financial Regulation & Integrity+0.53+0.500.00+0.030.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.37+0.350.00+0.010.00
Energy Infrastructure+0.31+0.240.00+0.06+0.02
Resource Infrastructure+0.28+0.250.00+0.030.00
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.27+0.200.00+0.06+0.02
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.22+0.200.00+0.030.00