Round 13 · simulation 7 · cycle-002.e4-nga

Round 2009

Round 13 of 30 in simulation 7 of Nigeria, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.132 to 7.53.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2009 (the end of 2008) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.53 (−0.132)
In: 7.66
Rank by index
73
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
45
In: 29
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.623.50−0.12010
Strategic Infrastructure8.848.78−0.0606
National Security6.676.41−0.2666
Human Capital7.797.76−0.02712
Information & Influence9.489.43−0.0577
Governance & Integrity8.188.22+0.03414
Financial Strength9.138.94−0.19316
Production & Innovation7.387.19−0.19015
Trade & Investment7.827.51−0.30912

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2009: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 203, plus 29 carried in. Maintenance 134. Spent 54 on actions (build 54). 45 carried over.

  • BuildInternal Security & Order11 credits for 0.52 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure11 credits for 0.48 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation11 credits for 0.61 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildResource Infrastructure11 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure11 credits for 0.43 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −14.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2009, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.490.000.00−0.48−0.01
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−0.470.000.00−0.470.00
Maritime Power−0.460.000.00−0.470.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.460.000.00−0.48+0.02
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−0.420.000.00−0.43+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.400.000.00−0.37−0.03