Round 27 · simulation 17 · cycle-002.e4-per

Round 2023

Round 27 of 30 in simulation 17 of Peru, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.276 to 6.36.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2023 (the end of 2022) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.36 (−0.276)
In: 6.63
Rank by index
91
In: 89
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
273
In: 238
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.572.53−0.03711 → 12
Strategic Infrastructure8.958.52−0.4234
National Security6.215.99−0.2197
Human Capital8.027.81−0.21413
Information & Influence5.865.67−0.19111 → 12
Governance & Integrity7.817.66−0.15813 → 14
Financial Strength7.296.95−0.34020 → 22
Production & Innovation5.595.17−0.41718 → 19
Trade & Investment7.376.89−0.4867

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2023: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 165, plus 238 carried in. Maintenance 114. Spent 16 on actions (build 16). 273 carried over.

  • BuildInternal Security & Order3 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSocial Infrastructure3 credits for 0.13 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildResource Infrastructure3 credits for 0.09 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance3 credits for 0.13 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure3 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −20.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 11 to 12; Information & Influence Tier 11 to 12; Governance & Integrity Tier 13 to 14; Financial Strength Tier 20 to 22; Production & Innovation Tier 18 to 19.

The groups that moved most in 2023, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.840.000.00−0.82−0.02
Financial System Depth & Access−0.720.000.00−0.72−0.01
Industrial & Sectoral Base−0.720.000.00−0.69−0.03
Energy Infrastructure−0.710.000.00−0.66−0.04
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.700.000.00−0.66−0.05
Transport Infrastructure−0.620.000.00−0.58−0.04