Round 24 · simulation 24 · cycle-002.e4-per

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 24 of Peru, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 10 actions, Severe pandemic and Legitimacy rupture, and the index −1.123 to 6.59.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.59 (−1.123)
In: 7.71
Rank by index
90
In: 71
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
283
In: 298
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.922.62−1.30511
Strategic Infrastructure9.468.87−0.5914
National Security7.056.23−0.8257
Human Capital8.817.93−0.87312 → 13
Information & Influence7.435.89−1.5369 → 11
Governance & Integrity8.467.65−0.81013
Financial Strength8.477.01−1.45317 → 21
Production & Innovation6.905.66−1.23716 → 18
Trade & Investment8.907.43−1.4756 → 7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 195, plus 298 carried in. Maintenance 141. Spent 68 on actions (build 68). 283 carried over.

  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption4 credits for 0.22 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights4 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration4 credits for 0.19 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability4 credits for 0.19 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure4 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability10 credits for 0.47 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance10 credits for 0.35 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildMonetary & Currency Capability10 credits for 0.54 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration10 credits for 0.47 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure10 credits for 0.52 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −62.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −18.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 12 to 13; Information & Influence Tier 9 to 11; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 21; Production & Innovation Tier 16 to 18; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−2.630.000.00−2.630.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−2.410.000.00−2.410.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−2.150.000.00−2.16+0.01
Labour & Employment−2.060.000.00−2.060.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−2.01+0.120.00−2.130.00
Investment Attraction & Projection−1.630.000.00−1.630.00