Round 27 · simulation 24 · cycle-002.e4-per

Round 2023

Round 27 of 30 in simulation 24 of Peru, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.277 to 6.34.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2023 (the end of 2022) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.34 (−0.277)
In: 6.61
Rank by index
93
In: 89
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
266
In: 233
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.582.55−0.03411
Strategic Infrastructure8.938.50−0.4234
National Security6.215.99−0.2167
Human Capital8.037.81−0.21913
Information & Influence5.855.66−0.19511 → 12
Governance & Integrity7.827.66−0.15913 → 14
Financial Strength7.186.84−0.34221 → 22
Production & Innovation5.605.18−0.41618 → 19
Trade & Investment7.336.83−0.4927

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2023: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 164, plus 233 carried in. Maintenance 114. Spent 16 on actions (build 16). 266 carried over.

  • BuildInternal Security & Order3 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSocial Infrastructure3 credits for 0.13 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildResource Infrastructure3 credits for 0.09 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance3 credits for 0.13 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure3 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −20.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 11 to 12; Governance & Integrity Tier 13 to 14; Financial Strength Tier 21 to 22; Production & Innovation Tier 18 to 19.

The groups that moved most in 2023, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.850.000.00−0.82−0.02
Financial System Depth & Access−0.720.000.00−0.720.00
Energy Infrastructure−0.710.000.00−0.67−0.05
Industrial & Sectoral Base−0.710.000.00−0.69−0.02
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.690.000.00−0.66−0.04
Transport Infrastructure−0.620.000.00−0.58−0.04