Round 8 · simulation 18 · cycle-002.e4-pol

Round 2004

Round 8 of 30 in simulation 18 of Poland, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Market access opening, and the index +0.112 to 9.95.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2004 (the end of 2003) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.95 (+0.112)
In: 9.84
Rank by index
47
In: 48
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
283
In: 243
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.656.71+0.0557
Strategic Infrastructure10.5710.75+0.1786 → 5
National Security7.867.860.0006
Human Capital11.2911.41+0.1226
Information & Influence10.0410.09+0.0567
Governance & Integrity10.8711.04+0.16911 → 10
Financial Strength10.1610.22+0.05816
Production & Innovation10.3010.45+0.1509 → 8
Trade & Investment10.8011.02+0.2238 → 7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2004: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 262, plus 243 carried in. Maintenance 196. Spent 26 on actions (build 26). 283 carried over.

  • BuildTransport Infrastructure5 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure5 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration5 credits for 0.22 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildStructural Transformation & Complexity5 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
  • Upside event: Market access opening S12. +20.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 6 to 5; Governance & Integrity Tier 11 to 10; Production & Innovation Tier 9 to 8; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2004, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.50+0.270.00+0.230.00
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.45+0.230.00+0.230.00
Transport Infrastructure+0.45+0.220.00+0.230.00
Structural Transformation & Complexity+0.38+0.260.00+0.110.00
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure+0.30+0.190.00+0.110.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.250.000.00+0.23+0.02