Round 24 · simulation 18 · cycle-002.e4-pol

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 18 of Poland, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.477 to 9.97.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.97 (−0.477)
In: 10.45
Rank by index
46
In: 44
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
244
In: 220
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.736.12−0.6147 → 8
Strategic Infrastructure12.2312.05−0.1814
National Security8.197.99−0.1965 → 6
Human Capital12.2911.90−0.3895
Information & Influence10.139.48−0.6487
Governance & Integrity11.2810.94−0.3429 → 10
Financial Strength10.6910.06−0.62611 → 15
Production & Innovation10.9510.37−0.5896
Trade & Investment11.5810.87−0.7076 → 7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 273, plus 220 carried in. Maintenance 221. Spent 27 on actions (build 27). 244 carried over.

  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management6 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability6 credits for 0.25 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration6 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.48 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −35.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 8; National Security Tier 5 to 6; Governance & Integrity Tier 9 to 10; Financial Strength Tier 11 to 15; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.160.000.00−1.17+0.01
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.130.000.00−1.140.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.120.000.00−1.120.00
Labour & Employment−1.080.000.00−1.080.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.04+0.070.00−1.110.00
Foundational Education−0.690.000.00−0.690.00