Round 24 · simulation 12 · cycle-002.e4-rus

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 12 of Russia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.395 to 11.82.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.82 (−0.395)
In: 12.21
Rank by index
29
In: 26
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 4
Credits carried
240
In: 281
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology13.3312.81−0.5222
Strategic Infrastructure14.9814.87−0.1081
National Security16.1715.93−0.2401 → 2
Human Capital15.1315.24+0.1131
Information & Influence11.3910.79−0.6025
Governance & Integrity11.2610.97−0.2811
Financial Strength9.789.16−0.6158
Production & Innovation10.249.65−0.5972 → 3
Trade & Investment7.656.95−0.70610 → 11

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 826, plus 281 carried in. Maintenance 660. Spent 207 on actions (build 207). 240 carried over.

  • BuildConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies41 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence41 credits for 3.01 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure41 credits for 1.40 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration41 credits for 0.43 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health41 credits for 2.23 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −33.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. National Security Tier 1 to 2; Production & Innovation Tier 2 to 3; Trade & Investment Tier 10 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Digital & AI Competence+2.47+2.770.00−0.300.00
Population Health+1.33+1.950.00−0.62−0.01
Transport Infrastructure+1.25+1.480.00−0.21−0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.220.000.00−1.24+0.02
Labour & Employment−1.030.000.00−1.030.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.030.000.00−1.030.00