Round 24 · simulation 24 · cycle-002.e4-rus

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 24 of Russia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.394 to 11.88.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.88 (−0.394)
In: 12.27
Rank by index
29
In: 26
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 4
Credits carried
96
In: 162
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology13.4012.88−0.5252
Strategic Infrastructure15.0614.96−0.1001
National Security16.4616.22−0.2411 → 2
Human Capital15.1015.22+0.1211
Information & Influence11.4110.81−0.6025
Governance & Integrity11.2410.96−0.2821
Financial Strength9.789.17−0.6158
Production & Innovation10.299.70−0.5972 → 3
Trade & Investment7.707.00−0.70610 → 11

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 832, plus 162 carried in. Maintenance 689. Spent 208 on actions (build 208). 96 carried over.

  • BuildConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies42 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence42 credits for 3.02 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure42 credits for 1.45 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration42 credits for 0.43 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health42 credits for 2.29 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −33.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. National Security Tier 1 to 2; Production & Innovation Tier 2 to 3; Trade & Investment Tier 10 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Digital & AI Competence+2.48+2.790.00−0.300.00
Population Health+1.39+2.010.00−0.620.00
Transport Infrastructure+1.32+1.550.00−0.21−0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.210.000.00−1.24+0.03
Labour & Employment−1.030.000.00−1.030.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.030.000.00−1.030.00