Round 26 · simulation 24 · cycle-002.e4-rus

Round 2022

Round 26 of 30 in simulation 24 of Russia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Regional war spillover and Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.465 to 11.49.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.49 (−0.465)
In: 11.96
Rank by index
32
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
4
In: 49
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology12.8912.45−0.4422
Strategic Infrastructure15.1014.73−0.3691
National Security16.2215.75−0.4722
Human Capital15.8315.90+0.0671
Information & Influence10.8010.37−0.4335 → 6
Governance & Integrity10.9610.66−0.3021
Financial Strength9.148.46−0.6828 → 10
Production & Innovation9.699.07−0.6183
Trade & Investment6.986.04−0.93711 → 12

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 782, plus 49 carried in. Maintenance 631. Spent 196 on actions (build 196). 4 carried over.

  • BuildLand Power39 credits for 0.49 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildStrategic Strike & Missile Defence39 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAir Power39 credits for 0.66 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSemiconductors & Advanced Computing39 credits for 0.80 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildResource Infrastructure39 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −22.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −41.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 6; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 11 to 12.

The groups that moved most in 2022, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Population Health+1.76+1.920.00−0.15−0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence−1.380.000.00−1.30−0.08
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.990.000.00−1.08+0.10
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.960.000.00−0.91−0.05
Global Value Chain Position−0.950.000.00−0.92−0.02
Trade Policy & Market Access−0.940.000.00−0.92−0.02