Round 2 · simulation 28 · cycle-002.e4-rwa

Round 1998

Round 2 of 30 in simulation 28 of Rwanda, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.340 to 4.80.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 1998 (the end of 1997) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.80 (−0.340)
In: 5.14
Rank by index
122
In: 116
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
17
In: 9
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.131.91−0.21612
Strategic Infrastructure5.765.32−0.4429
National Security3.893.41−0.4868 → 9
Human Capital6.416.29−0.12014
Information & Influence5.315.12−0.18812
Governance & Integrity6.145.90−0.24018
Financial Strength6.105.65−0.44823 → 24
Production & Innovation5.134.77−0.36519
Trade & Investment5.364.80−0.56117

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 1998: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 90, plus 9 carried in. Maintenance 72. Spent 9 on actions (build 9). 17 carried over.

  • BuildInternal Security & Order2 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights2 credits for 0.11 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health2 credits for 0.11 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSocial Infrastructure2 credits for 0.09 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure2 credits for 0.08 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −25.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. National Security Tier 8 to 9; Financial Strength Tier 23 to 24.

The groups that moved most in 1998, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.880.000.00−0.880.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.870.000.00−0.870.00
Maritime Power−0.840.000.00−0.840.00
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−0.810.000.00−0.810.00
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−0.800.000.00−0.800.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.760.000.00−0.760.00