Round 4 · simulation 28 · cycle-002.e4-rwa

Round 2000

Round 4 of 30 in simulation 28 of Rwanda, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.270 to 4.52.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2000 (the end of 1999) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.52 (−0.271)
In: 4.79
Rank by index
131
In: 122
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
31
In: 23
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.911.75−0.16512
Strategic Infrastructure5.335.00−0.3339 → 10
National Security3.413.26−0.1439
Human Capital6.296.08−0.21814
Information & Influence5.124.78−0.33412 → 13
Governance & Integrity5.915.74−0.16918
Financial Strength5.635.23−0.39324 → 27
Production & Innovation4.764.47−0.28819 → 20
Trade & Investment4.784.39−0.39017

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2000: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 81, plus 23 carried in. Maintenance 65. Spent 8 on actions (build 8). 31 carried over.

  • BuildInternal Security & Order2 credits for 0.09 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights2 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health2 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSocial Infrastructure2 credits for 0.08 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure2 credits for 0.07 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −18.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 9 to 10; Information & Influence Tier 12 to 13; Financial Strength Tier 24 to 27; Production & Innovation Tier 19 to 20.

The groups that moved most in 2000, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.670.000.00−0.65−0.03
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.590.000.00−0.57−0.03
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.590.000.00−0.57−0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−0.570.000.00−0.560.00
Energy Infrastructure−0.530.000.00−0.52−0.01
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.520.000.00−0.51−0.01