E4 · cycle-002.e4-ukr

Simulations

All 30 simulations of Ukraine, scripted, 30 years from 1996, one per seed, at 2026. The representative simulations link to their own pages, told round by round.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0 · The experiment

Every simulation

One row per seed, at the horizon. Select a heading to sort.

Simulation	Index	Change	Rank	Tier rank	Shocks	Upsides	Most funded group
17	5.00	−4.65	119	64	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (16 per cent)
26	4.99	−4.66	119	64	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
27	4.98	−4.67	119	64	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (16 per cent)
11A good simulation (90th percentile)	4.98	−4.67	119	64	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (16 per cent)
7	4.97	−4.68	119	64	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (16 per cent)
13	4.97	−4.68	119	65	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
9	4.96	−4.69	120	64	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
30	4.96	−4.70	120	64	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
4	4.96	−4.70	120	64	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (16 per cent)
18	4.95	−4.70	120	64	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
3	4.95	−4.70	120	64	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
5	4.95	−4.70	120	64	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
22	4.95	−4.70	120	64	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
10	4.94	−4.71	120	65	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (16 per cent)
8	4.94	−4.72	120	64	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
23Median simulation	4.93	−4.72	120	65	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
1	4.92	−4.73	122	65	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
21	4.91	−4.74	122	65	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
25	4.91	−4.74	122	64	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
20	4.91	−4.75	122	65	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
6	4.90	−4.75	122	64	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
2	4.90	−4.75	122	65	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
16	4.90	−4.76	122	65	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
14	4.89	−4.76	122	65	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
19	4.88	−4.77	122	65	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
24	4.88	−4.77	122	65	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
29A poor simulation (10th percentile)	4.88	−4.78	122	65	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
12	4.87	−4.78	122	64	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
28	4.86	−4.79	122	65	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)
15	4.86	−4.79	122	65	10	2	Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (15 per cent)