Round 8 · simulation 29 · cycle-002.e4-ukr

Round 2004

Round 8 of 30 in simulation 29 of Ukraine, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.166 to 9.34.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2004 (the end of 2003) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.34 (−0.166)
In: 9.50
Rank by index
54
In: 52
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
251
In: 208
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.908.78−0.1235
Strategic Infrastructure11.8411.75−0.0864
National Security10.179.89−0.2754
Human Capital11.8311.77−0.0675
Information & Influence7.977.68−0.2958 → 9
Governance & Integrity8.868.66−0.20013
Financial Strength8.167.84−0.32418 → 20
Production & Innovation8.838.75−0.07412 → 13
Trade & Investment8.968.92−0.04611

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2004: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 294, plus 208 carried in. Maintenance 228. Spent 24 on actions (build 24). 251 carried over.

  • BuildTrade Policy & Market Access6 credits for 0.38 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildExport Capability & Sophistication6 credits for 0.43 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base6 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure6 credits for 0.20 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −13.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 8 to 9; Financial Strength Tier 18 to 20; Production & Innovation Tier 12 to 13.

The groups that moved most in 2004, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.510.000.00−0.500.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.470.000.00−0.470.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.470.000.00−0.470.00
Force Generation & Mobilisation−0.430.000.00−0.49+0.05
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.290.000.00−0.290.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.29+0.430.00−0.140.00