Round 25 · simulation 20 · cycle-002.e4-usa

Round 2021

Round 25 of 30 in simulation 20 of United States, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion and Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.085 to 18.32.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2021 (the end of 2020) and as it left it.

Capability index
18.32 (−0.084)
In: 18.41
Rank by index
1
In: 1
Domains at Tier 1
9
In: 9
Credits carried
17,691
In: 16,231
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology19.3819.32−0.0501
Strategic Infrastructure18.0818.04−0.0431
National Security19.8219.71−0.1071
Human Capital17.3617.35−0.0161
Information & Influence18.6118.45−0.1601
Governance & Integrity17.5217.42−0.1061
Financial Strength18.5318.42−0.1131
Production & Innovation18.1718.09−0.0791
Trade & Investment18.1918.10−0.0911

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2021: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 3,209, plus 16,231 carried in. Maintenance 1,604. Spent 145 on actions (build 145). 17,691 carried over.

  • BuildSemiconductors & Advanced Computing29 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Technologies29 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure29 credits for 0.86 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability29 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAlliances & Security Cooperation29 credits for 0.51 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −3.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −3.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2021, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Resource Infrastructure+0.45+0.550.00−0.100.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.290.000.00−0.290.00
Maritime Power−0.210.000.00−0.210.00
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−0.190.000.00−0.190.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.180.000.00−0.14−0.05
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance−0.180.000.00−0.14−0.03