Round 2020
Round 24 of 30 in simulation 10 of Venezuela, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.619 to 7.83.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.83 (−0.620)
- In: 8.45
- Rank by index
- 70
- In: 65
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 80
- In: 74
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 5.20 | 4.43 | −0.776 | 6 → 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.55 | 10.19 | −0.357 | 3 |
| National Security | 6.50 | 6.15 | −0.346 | 7 → 8 |
| Human Capital | 12.38 | 11.85 | −0.527 | 2 |
| Information & Influence | 10.12 | 9.32 | −0.794 | 4 → 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 9.37 | 9.05 | −0.323 | 13 |
| Financial Strength | 6.31 | 5.53 | −0.779 | 17 → 19 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.51 | 6.73 | −0.777 | 14 → 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.11 | 7.21 | −0.892 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 190, plus 74 carried in. Maintenance 162. Spent 22 on actions (build 13, buy 9). 80 carried over.
- BuyResource Infrastructure4 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
- BuildMonetary & Currency Capability4 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
- BuyInternal Security & Order4 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
- BuildAlliances & Security Cooperation4 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTrade Policy & Market Access4 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −43.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 7; National Security Tier 7 to 8; Information & Influence Tier 4 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 19; Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 16.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.55 | −0.02 |
| Labour & Employment | −1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.32 | −0.04 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.34 | −0.01 |
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | −1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.34 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.23 | +0.08 | 0.00 | −1.26 | −0.05 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.77 | −0.09 |