Round 4 · simulation 2 · cycle-002.e4-zaf

Round 2000

Round 4 of 30 in simulation 2 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Market access opening, and the index +0.097 to 11.87.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2000 (the end of 1999) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.87 (+0.097)
In: 11.77
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
179
In: 127
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.897.92+0.0277
Strategic Infrastructure13.1813.25+0.0713
National Security9.549.54+0.0014
Human Capital10.6610.72+0.0586
Information & Influence11.9411.97+0.0305
Governance & Integrity12.7812.85+0.0678
Financial Strength15.3115.66+0.3473 → 2
Production & Innovation11.7111.76+0.0528
Trade & Investment12.9413.16+0.2215 → 4

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2000: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 403, plus 127 carried in. Maintenance 271. Spent 79 on actions (build 79). 179 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildMonetary & Currency Capability20 credits for 0.65 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFinancial Regulation & Integrity20 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Policy & Market Access20 credits for 0.91 levelsscripted_history
  • Upside event: Market access opening S12. +9.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 3 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2000, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.04+0.940.00+0.100.00
Monetary & Currency Capability+0.76+0.690.00+0.03+0.04
Financial Regulation & Integrity+0.63+0.600.00+0.030.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.59+0.570.00+0.030.00
Transport Infrastructure+0.120.000.00+0.10+0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.120.000.00+0.10+0.01