Round 15 · simulation 2 · cycle-002.e4-zaf

Round 2011

Round 15 of 30 in simulation 2 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, and the index +0.041 to 12.05.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2011 (the end of 2010) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.05 (+0.041)
In: 12.01
Rank by index
29
In: 29
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
709
In: 632
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.767.76+0.0027
Strategic Infrastructure14.2514.36+0.1142
National Security9.389.37−0.0055
Human Capital11.4911.51+0.0156
Information & Influence11.6911.69−0.0045
Governance & Integrity12.7512.75+0.0018
Financial Strength15.5615.560.0002
Production & Innovation12.1012.18+0.0772
Trade & Investment13.1013.27+0.1693

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2011: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 403, plus 632 carried in. Maintenance 293. Spent 32 on actions (build 32). 709 carried over.

  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base8 credits for 0.20 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildExport Capability & Sophistication8 credits for 0.53 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAdvanced Manufacturing8 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Facilitation & Logistics8 credits for 0.48 levelsscripted_history
The groups that moved most in 2011, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.59+0.540.000.00+0.06
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.57+0.490.000.00+0.08
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.44+0.420.000.00+0.02
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.43+0.430.000.00−0.01
Energy Infrastructure+0.32+0.340.000.00−0.01
Transport Infrastructure+0.32+0.340.000.00−0.02