Round 24 · simulation 2 · cycle-002.e4-zaf

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 2 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.347 to 11.79.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.79 (−0.347)
In: 12.13
Rank by index
30
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
906
In: 842
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.007.55−0.4515
Strategic Infrastructure14.8114.67−0.1372
National Security9.299.08−0.2125
Human Capital11.4911.17−0.3196
Information & Influence11.5411.08−0.4576
Governance & Integrity12.6812.44−0.2368
Financial Strength15.4415.04−0.4022 → 3
Production & Innovation12.2611.84−0.4231
Trade & Investment13.7013.21−0.4883 → 4

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 400, plus 842 carried in. Maintenance 316. Spent 20 on actions (partner 20). 906 carried over.

  • PartnerDigital & AI Competence4 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure4 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption4 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerFinancial Stability & Crisis Management4 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration4 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −25.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 3; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.820.000.00−0.81−0.01
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−0.790.000.00−0.790.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.780.000.00−0.780.00
Labour & Employment−0.770.000.00−0.770.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.680.000.00−0.680.00
Health System Capability−0.480.000.00−0.480.00