Round 2 · simulation 5 · cycle-002.e4-zwe

Round 1998

Round 2 of 30 in simulation 5 of Zimbabwe, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 3 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.271 to 6.52.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 1998 (the end of 1997) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.52 (−0.271)
In: 6.79
Rank by index
91
In: 85
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.122.94−0.17812
Strategic Infrastructure8.808.48−0.3207
National Security5.234.92−0.3128
Human Capital8.888.79−0.09911 → 12
Information & Influence6.466.30−0.15911
Governance & Integrity7.657.44−0.20716
Financial Strength6.506.11−0.38223
Production & Innovation7.156.84−0.31115
Trade & Investment7.356.88−0.47613 → 14

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 1998: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 129. Maintenance 109. Spent 21 on actions (buy 21). 0 carried over. 2 actions could not be paid for.

  • BuyAgriculture & Food Infrastructure8 credits for 0.40 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyLand Power8 credits for 0.48 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyForce Generation & Mobilisation6 credits for 0.35 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −20.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 11 to 12; Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 14.

The groups that moved most in 1998, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.760.000.00−0.71−0.05
Maritime Power−0.700.000.00−0.700.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.690.000.00−0.690.00
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−0.670.000.00−0.670.00
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−0.660.000.00−0.660.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.63+0.110.00−0.62−0.12