Round 2017
Round 21 of 30 in simulation 5 of Zimbabwe, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.357 to 3.27.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2017 (the end of 2016) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 3.27 (−0.357)
- In: 3.63
- Rank by index
- 164
- In: 156
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 1.00 | 0.81 | −0.191 | 17 → 18 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.59 | 5.30 | −0.292 | 9 |
| National Security | 3.00 | 2.50 | −0.500 | 10 → 11 |
| Human Capital | 6.68 | 6.47 | −0.213 | 14 |
| Information & Influence | 3.01 | 2.43 | −0.575 | 18 → 21 |
| Governance & Integrity | 5.42 | 4.99 | −0.431 | 19 |
| Financial Strength | 1.74 | 1.30 | −0.442 | 40 → 43 |
| Production & Innovation | 3.50 | 3.23 | −0.270 | 25 |
| Trade & Investment | 2.72 | 2.43 | −0.298 | 23 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2017: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 33. Maintenance 33 of the 49 needed, so 34 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 5 actions could not be paid for.
- Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −25.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 17 to 18; National Security Tier 10 to 11; Information & Influence Tier 18 to 21; Financial Strength Tier 40 to 43.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Force Generation & Mobilisation | −1.11 | 0.00 | −0.10 | −1.01 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.95 | 0.00 | −0.03 | −0.91 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.67 | 0.00 | −0.01 | −0.92 | −0.01 |
| Land Power | −0.61 | 0.00 | −0.13 | −0.48 | −0.01 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −0.57 | 0.00 | −0.10 | −0.47 | 0.00 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −0.55 | 0.00 | −0.06 | −0.49 | 0.00 |