Round 24 · simulation 18 · cycle-003.e4-are

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 18 of United Arab Emirates, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 2 actions, Severe pandemic and Middle East settlement, and the index −0.238 to 9.75.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.75 (−0.237)
In: 9.99
Rank by index
48
In: 46
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.435.39−0.0454
Strategic Infrastructure13.0312.95−0.0862
National Security6.696.64−0.0417
Human Capital10.3210.03−0.2969 → 10
Information & Influence9.529.20−0.3256
Governance & Integrity9.459.31−0.13910
Financial Strength11.9611.54−0.4184
Production & Innovation9.939.59−0.3437 → 8
Trade & Investment13.5613.12−0.4442

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 296. Maintenance 275. Spent 21 on actions (partner 21). 0 carried over. 8 actions could not be paid for.

  • PartnerSpace Technologies15 credits for 1.07 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.49 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −21.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Upside event: Middle East settlement S14. +10.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 9 to 10; Production & Innovation Tier 7 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Space Technologies+0.83+1.110.00−0.280.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.730.000.00−0.730.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.730.000.00−0.730.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.600.000.00−0.60+0.01
Labour & Employment−0.540.000.00−0.540.00
Foundational Education−0.490.000.00−0.490.00