Round 30 · simulation 18 · cycle-003.e4-are

Round 2026

Round 30 of 30 in simulation 18 of United Arab Emirates, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.015 to 9.79.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2026 (the end of 2025) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.79 (+0.016)
In: 9.77
Rank by index
48
In: 48
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
5
In: 3
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.506.54+0.0344
Strategic Infrastructure12.8212.83+0.0172
National Security6.796.85+0.0657 → 6
Human Capital9.9910.02+0.03210
Information & Influence9.229.220.0006
Governance & Integrity9.309.29−0.00210
Financial Strength11.2311.22−0.0025
Production & Innovation9.379.37−0.0038
Trade & Investment12.7312.73−0.0052

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2026: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 281, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 251. Spent 28 on actions (build 28). 5 carried over.

  • BuildBiotechnology & Health Technologies6 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability6 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure6 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health6 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFoundational Education6 credits for 0.39 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. National Security Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2026, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence+0.300.000.000.00+0.30
Space Operations+0.240.000.000.00+0.24
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+0.22+0.220.000.000.00
Foundational Education+0.15+0.160.000.00−0.01
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure+0.14+0.150.000.000.00
Population Health+0.11+0.120.000.00−0.01