Round 24 · simulation 25 · cycle-003.e4-arg

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 25 of Argentina, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic and Debt service reset, and the index −0.453 to 9.80.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.80 (−0.453)
In: 10.26
Rank by index
49
In: 45
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
241
In: 244
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.698.21−0.4866
Strategic Infrastructure12.5112.27−0.2432
National Security7.267.04−0.2287
Human Capital13.7613.32−0.4391
Information & Influence10.339.68−0.6476 → 7
Governance & Integrity10.249.95−0.29411
Financial Strength9.649.11−0.52816
Production & Innovation10.039.48−0.5503
Trade & Investment9.849.18−0.6615 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 320, plus 244 carried in. Maintenance 292. Spent 32 on actions (build 32). 241 carried over.

  • BuildHealth System Capability6 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.25 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management6 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSocial Infrastructure6 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSovereign Capital & External Financial Power6 credits for 0.35 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −33.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Upside event: Debt service reset S11. +5.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 7; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.290.000.00−1.31+0.02
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.140.000.00−1.140.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.030.000.00−1.10+0.07
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.90+0.080.00−0.96−0.02
Labour & Employment−0.850.000.00−0.84−0.01
Population Health−0.720.000.00−0.720.00