Round 5 · simulation 1 · cycle-003.e4-bra

Round 2001

Round 5 of 30 in simulation 1 of Brazil, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.100 to 11.32.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2001 (the end of 2000) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.32 (−0.100)
In: 11.42
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
53
In: 39
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.399.37−0.0126
Strategic Infrastructure13.5513.40−0.1552
National Security9.369.27−0.0875
Human Capital10.8510.71−0.1438
Information & Influence11.6811.58−0.1015
Governance & Integrity11.1911.15−0.0397
Financial Strength12.8512.84−0.0087 → 6
Production & Innovation12.2312.15−0.0895
Trade & Investment11.6711.40−0.2677 → 8

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2001: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 429, plus 39 carried in. Maintenance 310. Spent 106 on actions (build 42, buy 64). 53 carried over.

  • BuildMonetary & Currency Capability21 credits for 0.73 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance21 credits for 0.69 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls21 credits for 0.75 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure21 credits for 0.96 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyBusiness Dynamism & Entrepreneurship21 credits for 0.99 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −11.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 7 to 6; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2001, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.80+1.010.00−0.210.00
Business Dynamism & Entrepreneurship+0.74+0.990.00−0.23−0.01
Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls+0.63+0.750.00−0.120.00
Monetary & Currency Capability+0.62+0.770.00−0.18+0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.480.000.00−0.480.00
Financial System Depth & Access−0.400.000.00−0.400.00