Round 30 · simulation 1 · cycle-003.e4-bra

Round 2026

Round 30 of 30 in simulation 1 of Brazil, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 2 actions, and the index +0.023 to 11.54.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2026 (the end of 2025) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.54 (+0.022)
In: 11.52
Rank by index
31
In: 31
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.079.13+0.0574
Strategic Infrastructure15.0415.040.0001
National Security9.039.02−0.0025
Human Capital12.7312.73−0.0011
Information & Influence11.7211.72−0.0031
Governance & Integrity10.7510.75−0.0037
Financial Strength12.3912.39−0.0015
Production & Innovation12.1812.33+0.1524 → 3
Trade & Investment10.7310.73+0.0059

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2026: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 422. Maintenance 385. Spent 37 on actions (build 37). 0 carried over. 3 actions could not be paid for.

  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base21 credits for 0.95 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Technologies16 credits for 0.52 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2026, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Industrial & Sectoral Base+1.01+1.010.000.000.00
Energy Technologies+0.59+0.590.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.040.000.000.00+0.04
Structural Transformation & Complexity+0.040.000.000.00+0.04
Energy Infrastructure+0.03+0.030.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.020.000.000.00+0.02