Round 24 · simulation 26 · cycle-003.e4-bra

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 26 of Brazil, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 2 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.516 to 11.42.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.42 (−0.516)
In: 11.94
Rank by index
34
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.568.99−0.5644
Strategic Infrastructure15.2214.96−0.2601
National Security9.339.06−0.2665
Human Capital13.0012.56−0.4441
Information & Influence12.4411.77−0.6701
Governance & Integrity11.1310.75−0.3806 → 7
Financial Strength13.0812.46−0.6193 → 5
Production & Innovation12.3111.67−0.6413 → 5
Trade & Investment11.3810.58−0.7999

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 438. Maintenance 423. Spent 15 on actions (partner 15). 0 carried over. 3 actions could not be paid for.

  • PartnerAgriculture & Food Infrastructure9 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure6 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −36.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 6 to 7; Financial Strength Tier 3 to 5; Production & Innovation Tier 3 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.410.000.00−1.410.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.190.000.00−1.190.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.160.000.00−1.160.00
Labour & Employment−0.90+0.180.00−1.090.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.89+0.090.00−0.980.00
Health System Capability−0.790.000.00−0.790.00