Round 12 · simulation 21 · cycle-003.e4-bwa

Round 2008

Round 12 of 30 in simulation 21 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 6 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.165 to 9.17.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2008 (the end of 2007) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.17 (−0.165)
In: 9.33
Rank by index
56
In: 55
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
202
In: 178
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.702.66−0.04412
Strategic Infrastructure10.9511.00+0.0454
National Security5.925.92+0.0017
Human Capital10.8310.76−0.0664
Information & Influence8.278.15−0.1238
Governance & Integrity13.9513.80−0.1504
Financial Strength12.5011.97−0.5349 → 11
Production & Innovation9.288.98−0.30111 → 12
Trade & Investment9.579.25−0.3179 → 10

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2008: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 264, plus 178 carried in. Maintenance 185. Spent 55 on actions (build 40, partner 16). 202 carried over.

  • BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure13 credits for 0.50 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure13 credits for 0.49 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure13 credits for 0.48 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerStructural Transformation & Complexity5 credits for 0.35 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position5 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerAdvanced Manufacturing5 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −12.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 11; Production & Innovation Tier 11 to 12; Trade & Investment Tier 9 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2008, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.690.000.00−0.690.00
Financial System Depth & Access−0.600.000.00−0.600.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.590.000.00−0.590.00
Financial Regulation & Integrity−0.580.000.00−0.580.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.580.000.00−0.580.00
Economic Output & Productivity−0.560.000.00−0.58+0.02