Round 16 · simulation 21 · cycle-003.e4-bwa

Round 2012

Round 16 of 30 in simulation 21 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 7 actions, and the index +0.031 to 9.29.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2012 (the end of 2011) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.29 (+0.032)
In: 9.26
Rank by index
55
In: 55
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
336
In: 301
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.662.660.00012
Strategic Infrastructure11.3311.37+0.0414
National Security5.925.92−0.0037
Human Capital10.8610.92+0.0634
Information & Influence8.148.14−0.0018
Governance & Integrity13.8213.82+0.0054
Financial Strength11.9411.940.00011
Production & Innovation9.169.25+0.08912
Trade & Investment9.509.59+0.08410

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2012: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 255, plus 301 carried in. Maintenance 184. Spent 36 on actions (build 20, partner 15). 336 carried over.

  • PartnerStructural Transformation & Complexity5 credits for 0.32 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position5 credits for 0.48 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerAdvanced Manufacturing5 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure5 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAdvanced Education5 credits for 0.41 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills5 credits for 0.69 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
The groups that moved most in 2012, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Global Value Chain Position+0.49+0.490.000.00+0.01
Structural Transformation & Complexity+0.33+0.320.000.00+0.01
Advanced Manufacturing+0.31+0.290.000.00+0.03
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.30+0.280.000.00+0.02
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.22+0.230.000.000.00
Advanced Education+0.20+0.160.000.00+0.03