Round 2020
Round 24 of 30 in simulation 21 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 7 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.339 to 9.18.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 9.18 (−0.340)
- In: 9.52
- Rank by index
- 56
- In: 52
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 495
- In: 468
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.73 | 2.57 | −0.162 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.69 | 11.50 | −0.191 | 4 |
| National Security | 5.85 | 5.69 | −0.157 | 7 |
| Human Capital | 11.80 | 11.55 | −0.249 | 4 → 5 |
| Information & Influence | 8.05 | 7.59 | −0.458 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 13.96 | 13.68 | −0.288 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 11.79 | 11.25 | −0.539 | 11 |
| Production & Innovation | 9.82 | 9.41 | −0.411 | 9 → 10 |
| Trade & Investment | 9.94 | 9.35 | −0.597 | 10 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 254, plus 468 carried in. Maintenance 192. Spent 36 on actions (build 36). 495 carried over.
- BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure5 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
- BuildAdvanced Education5 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills5 credits for 0.50 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
- BuildHealth System Capability5 credits for 0.19 levelsscripted_history
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.19 levelsscripted_history
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −24.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 4 to 5; Production & Innovation Tier 9 to 10.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.07 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.85 | +0.06 | 0.00 | −0.93 | +0.01 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.77 | 0.00 |
| Labour & Employment | −0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.71 | +0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | −0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.61 | +0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | −0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.56 | 0.00 |