Round 24 · simulation 9 · cycle-003.e4-bwa

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 9 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 7 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.340 to 9.19.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.19 (−0.339)
In: 9.53
Rank by index
56
In: 52
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
498
In: 470
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.742.57−0.16312
Strategic Infrastructure11.7011.51−0.1904
National Security5.855.70−0.1577
Human Capital11.8011.55−0.2504 → 5
Information & Influence8.057.59−0.4598
Governance & Integrity13.9613.67−0.2884
Financial Strength11.8111.27−0.54011
Production & Innovation9.889.47−0.4119
Trade & Investment9.969.36−0.59910

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 255, plus 470 carried in. Maintenance 192. Spent 36 on actions (build 36). 498 carried over.

  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure5 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAdvanced Education5 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills5 credits for 0.51 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability5 credits for 0.19 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.19 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −24.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 4 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.080.000.00−1.09+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.86+0.060.00−0.93+0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.780.000.00−0.780.00
Labour & Employment−0.700.000.00−0.71+0.01
Global Value Chain Position−0.600.000.00−0.61+0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.560.000.00−0.560.00